Steve Sailer Sucks


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Friday, July 17, 2015

Confederate Flags get taken down at record pace

Despite the malicious atrocities Dylann Roof committed when he shot up an African American church in Charleston SC and murdered 9 people, he set a record for taking down the Confederate flag at a record pace. So many civil rights groups have tried for so many decades to do this, yet Dylann Roof accomplished all this in one day. He helped everyone see the true colors of Confederate flag as the symbol of hatred, racism, treason, bloodshed, and slavery.


Here is a current status of Confederate flags being taken down across America.

Taken down:
South Carolina
Alabama
Hillsborough County, Florida

Legislation pending to take down:
Mississippi
Virginia & North Carolina - Remove confederate symbol from license plates

The largest retailer, Walmart, is no longer selling merchandise with Confederate symbols. Many Companies, retailers, and celebrities are following the same trend.

Race and Police Arrests

On June 17, a white male named Dylann Roof, who was directly associated with white supremacist hate groups, went to an African American church in Charleston, South Carolina, and started shooting at the church members with a handgun, killing 9 people (all Black). He was later arrested by the police in a calm and peaceful manner with no injuries or struggles.


On the other hand, June 5 in McKinney, Texas, a white officer named Eric Casebolt arrests a 15 year old Black girl who committed no crime, unarmed in a bikini, with excessive police brutality.


Sunday, June 07, 2015

Planes, Trains, and Automobiles - White males can be a serious endangerment

When vehicular accidents happen, non-white pilots or drivers get a bad rap. But what about white male pilots or drivers who cause horrific accidents? Does VDare, American Renaissance, or even the general media give white males the bad rap? Let's examine how terrible white male pilots or drivers can be.




Germanwings Flight 9525 Crash
On 24 March 2015, a Germanwings aircraft , an Airbus A320-200, crashed into the French Alps, resulting in the death of 144 passengers and 6 crew members. This was a deliberate and malicious murder suicide plot by co-pilot Andreas Lubitz (shown above). He was a white male who was suffering from severe depression problems (sounds like Steve Sailer and his audience). When the pilot momentarily left the cockpit during flight over France, Andreas Lubitz then locked the cockpit door with only himself inside the cockpit. Andreas Lubitz then descended the plane until the plane struck a mountain in the French Alps, killing everyone abroad in one of the world's worst murder suicide plot.




Amtrak Train Derailment in Philadelphia, PA
On May 12, 2015, an Amtrak train was bound from Washington, D.C. for New York City. While traversing through Philadelphia, PA, the train was traveling 102 mph along a curve with a speed limit of 50 mph. The train derailed in a disastrous and tragic accident, and of all 243 people on board, 8 were killed and over 200 injured, 11 critically.

The driver of the Amtrak train, which is called the engineer, is Brandon Bostian. He is a 32 year old white male responsible for one of the worst train accidents in history. His last public statements so far in mid-May was that he cannot remember anything about the crash, and he is not saying anything except through his lawyer. Typical defensive mechanism to lie by saying you can't remember anything, but that is the typical procedure when you are responsible for a reckless and horrific accident with lives lost and numerous serious injuries.




School Buses collide in Knoxville, TN
On December 2014, 48 year old school bus driver James Davenport was driving a bus of children in Knowville, Tenessee. He suddenly made a sharp left turn, crossing the concrete median, then crashed head on to another school bus. James Davenport was injured, and the worst fatalities were 3 people passengers who died, 6 year old Zykia Burns, 7 year old Seraya Glasper, and 46 year old teacher's aide Kimberly Riddle.

After a 6 month investigation, the police concluded James Davenport caused the accident because he was texting on his cell phone while driving. James Davenport suddenly died on June 1, 2015 at his home and that death is under investigation. Nevertheless, it shows everyone while males don't make better drivers. This is a recent article on James Davenport, the accident, and the police investigation.

Monday, April 27, 2015

Jon Entine: Pseudo-Journalist, Divorced felon guilty of domestic violence and child abuse

Pseudo-journalists like Jon Entine and Steve Sailer love to give their crackpot theories and analysis on various races and people, and judge other races by the millions. However, just as they can judge others, we can also investigate and judge them as well.

What has Jon Entine done since he wrote the book Taboo in 2000? Even though he has no credentials in genetics, he wrote a book in 2007 called Abraham's Children, where he provides more of his pseudo-analysis on the genes and ancestry of Jewish people. He also produced some documentaries after that criticizing the American agricultural industry for their use of pesticides.


Just as Jon Entine can make criticizing attacks on the U.S. agricultural industry and other people based on shoddy journalism, those being unfairly attacked can find fault with him. What has gone on with Jon Entine's personal life? This article by Natural News exposes the truth on Jon Entine - He is a divorced father and criminal guilty of domestic violence and child abuse.

Jon Entine has had marital and family problems for a long time. When he was married to then wife Ellen Turner before 2006, they were having serious domestic violence problems for awhile. In January of 2005, Entine's then wife Ellen Turner sought a court restraining order against him that demanded he refrain from physically injuring her person or abusing their child. Court documents from Hamilton County, Ohio revealed some very disturbing and heinous domestic violence incidents by Jon Entine (see the Natural News link above for more details and links to the court documents).
Posted on the Jon Entine page of Truthwiki.org, an exhaustive series of publicly-available PDF documents from the courts of Hamilton County, Ohio state that Jon Entine physically assaulted his wife. He "...became very belligerent and aggressive toward Plaintiff [his wife]. He pushed her, shoved her, gouged her eye, choked her and pushed her into the porch column. He slammed the door and refused to release [their daughter]. Plaintiff finally called the Indian Hill Rangers..."
Entine's wife, Ellen Turner, then sought a court order requiring Jon Entine to attend "anger management classes." She further described Entine as "irrational and unpredictable" and warned the courts that his bizarre behavior "appears to be escalating."
The following paragraph, also found in the court document PDFs shown on the Jon Entine Truthwiki page, revealed how Ellen Turner was "assaulted by [Jon Entine]. This occurred in the presence of [their daughter] who has been psychologically traumatized as a result. [Daughter] is afraid of [Jon Entine]... he has become increasingly and exceedingly hostile and belligerent. [The wife] fears that [Entine's] mental health has deteriorated..."
After years of violence and abuse, Jon Entine and Ellen Turner were divorced on November 2006. But Jon's downhill descent didn't end with the divorce. Just like anyone following the path of Steve Sailer, the bad news keeps getting worse. The Natural News link is a five page article on Jon Entine that are linked together, so make sure you read all five pages. Here are more areas on the real Jon Entine that are exposed.

  • Jon Entine begins dating via EHarmony.com while still living with wife - court documents
  • Fired by ABC news, characterized as "out of control"
  • Jon Entine stages manufacturing violation then calls the FDA, then cites his own contrived staging as evidence against the company - report
  • A wikipedia vandal who defames real scientists questioning the safety of GMOs
  • Jon Entine demands to see his wife's diaries and personal journals
  • Jon Entine illegally enters wife's residence, wife demands "psychological evaluation"
  • Entine threatens his daughter's therapist with legal action
  • Entine threatens the credibility of George Mason University
  • Entine attempts to sue others for merely questioning his qualifications
  • Entine is an apologist for deadly chemicals like atrazine


Monday, April 06, 2015

Jon Entine, Taboo, and Black Athletes - Football and the NFL

In my final review of Jon Entine's book, "Taboo: Why Black Athletes Dominate Sports and Why We’re Afraid to Talk About It", let's analyze Jon's analysis and predictions of black athletes in football and the NFL 15 years later.

So far the Boston Marathon and basketball were analyzed. Another widely popular sport which the book Taboo analyzes in depth is football. When Taboo was published in 2000, Blacks made up 13% of the American population and an unusually high 67% of the NFL players. These Black NFL players are primarily of West African descent genetically gifted with fast twitch muscles to give them exceptional speed, explosive power, jumping, and strength.

Look at the profile of NFL players since the 1950s. You will see a significant increase of Black players in the NFL every year. If you also plot out physical characteristics, like height, weight, speed, and strength every year since the 1950s, you will see a significantly increasing trend every year, with most of those physical increases attributed by the increasing number of Black players.

By the late 1990s, Black athletes made up 67% of the NFL. Jon Entine concluded in Taboo, published in 2000, that Black genetic dominance in the NFL and clear trends would cause Black representation in the NFL to further increase over the years, and other races would be phased out.

How did Jon Entine's predictions come about? He was a little closer on the mark with his NFL predictions than his NBA predictions, and his fallacies were reduced a little, but fallacies still abound and his predictions did not come true.

Since Black players made up 67% of the NFL in 1999, that figure has been consistent up to 2014. It may fluctuate 1 or 2 points either direction, but has been consistent overall. While the Black population in America has slightly increased to 14% and increased in absolute numbers, the NFL roster spots have been consistent. If Blacks had a genetic monopoly on the best football players in America, we would certainly see an increase of Black representation in the NFL after 1999.

Another interesting note is that NFL player physical characteristics, such as height, weight, speed, and strength, has maxed out in 1999. Some years have small fluctuations, but overall the 2014 NFL players physically and racially represent the NFL players of 1999.

Analyzing the NFL players by position, you'll see the most diversity in the NFL belonging to quarterbacks, offensive linemen, tight end, punters, and kickers. Non-Black players have played in every position in the NFL. Whites dominate the quarterback position, but almost every race and nationality, such as Hispanics, Asians, Pacific Islanders, Arabs, and Indians, have played in the NFL.

Not only the non-Black races can play in the NFL, but they can also play in the most Black dominated positions and perform just as well with the best Black football players. Here are some of the best non-Black players in the NFL who meet these criteria to prove Jon Entine wrong.
1) Player has minimal or no African heritage (i.e less than one quarter Black/African heritage).
2) Player played in the Black dominated positions of the NFL.
3) Player was a solid starter and performed very well in that position.
4) Player played and excelled in the NFL in 1999 or afterwards, when Black representation and physical traits of all NFL players maxed out.


J.J. Watt (White American)
NFL: Defensive End for Houston Texans, 2011-Present (2015)
Signed 6 year, $100 million contract in 2014 to become highest-paid defensive player in NFL history


Peyton Hillis (White American)
NFL: Running Back, 2008-2014
Best seasons were 2010-2011 for the Cleveland Browns


Dat Nguyen (Vietnamese American)
NFL: Linebacker for Dallas Cowboys, 1999-2005
There are several Asians to play in the NFL, but Dat Nguyen is so far the best.


Greg Camarillo (Half Mexican, Half Hungarian Jewish)
NFL: Wide Receiver, 2006-2012
Best seasons were 2008-2009 for the Miami Dolphins


Jason Sehorn (White American)
NFL: Cornerback for the New York Giants, 1994-2003

Jon Entine's prediction of Black dominance in the cornerback seemed to be closer on the mark. The last non-Black cornerback we saw in the NFL was a White guy named Jason Sehorn. He was a starting cornerback for the New York Giants from 1994 to 2002, and played his final year in the NFL in 2003 as a safety. There haven't been any non-Black cornerbacks in the NFL after Jason Sehorn, and there doesn't seem to be any on the horizon as of 2015. Neverless, Jason Sehorn played as a starting cornerback in 1999 and beyond, at a time when Black percentage of NFL players and average size, speed, and strength of all NFL players reached its peak.

Conclusion: Taboo may have less mistakes in analyzing and predicting the NFL compared to the NBA, but it still has mistakes. Taboo has some parts right, but too many mistakes and fallacies to pass as credible scientific research.

Friday, March 27, 2015

Jon Entine, Taboo, and Black Athletes - Basketball and the NBA

Continuing to analyze Jon Entine's book, "Taboo: Why Black Athletes Dominate Sports and Why We’re Afraid to Talk About It" published in 2000, Jon moves from East Africa, whose natives dominate long distance marathon running with slow twitch muscles, to West Africa. According to Entine, the West Africans are genetically gifted with fast twitch muscles. This allows West Africans, as well as many African Americans who are primarily of West African descent, to dominate in sports that require speed, explosive power, jumping, and strength. This makes West Africans, and so many African Americans, genetically superior in sports like short distance sprinting, basketball, and football. Let's examine the globally popular sport of basketball and the NBA.

Statistics show that while Blacks made up 13% of the American population in the late 1990s (the latest figures available in Taboo), Blacks made up a staggering 80% of the NBA. There was a clear trend of Black dominance in the NBA. If you take stats like the percentage of Black players in the NBA since the 1950s or earlier, then plot each percentage every year on your Excel spreadsheet, you would see a clear trend of increasing Black presence and dominance in the NBA. Take other stats, like minutes of playing time, points scored, rebounds, and you would see the same increasing trends.

Look at the Dream Team of the best NBA players in the 1992 and 1996 Summer Olympics. It was dominated by Black players of West African descent, and even more so in 1996. The 1996 Dream Team was down to just one white guy, John Stockton. Both Dream Teams dominated the best basketball players of the world by about 50 points per game in 1992 and 30 points in 1996.

This staggering trend led Jon Entine to conclude that, due to their genetic fast twitch muscle advantages, the percentage of Black players in the NBA would continue to increase and never decline. Other races and nationalities who are not West African would never be able to effectively compete against the Black NBA players, especially the elite NBA players like the Dream Team.

Then reality struck hard after 2000, when Taboo was published. Jon Entine's analysis and predictions were soon discredited over the years. Here are the major events which proved him wrong.

Black player percentage in NBA declines
From an all time high of 80% of NBA players in the 1990s, that percentage declined after 2000 and did not resume the peak of 80% since then. International players from all around the world brought more diversity to the NBA. The percentage of Black players in the NBA has been in the 75% to 78% range after 2000, and at 76% as of 2013.

International basketball players bring diversity to the NBA
The NBA of the 21st century saw much diversity of basketball players of many races and nationalities. Not only did they bring diversity to the NBA, but they have the genetics to effectively compete and be as great as the best African NBA players. Below are three famous NBA superstars that prove the point.


Yao Ming (China)
NBA: 2002-2011


 Dirk Nowitzki (Germany)
NBA: 1998-Present (2015)


Pau Gasol (Spain)
NBA: 2001-Present (2015)


Here are the names of non-African countries which have produced basketball players who have played in the NBA after 2000, grouped by continent.
Europe: So many countries in Europe
Asia: China, Japan, South Korea
South America: Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela, Uruguay
Central America and Carribean: Mexico, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Panama,

2000 Summer Olympics
This is where Taboo first started falling apart. The Dream Team of the best NBA players of West African descent were playing against the international elite, but the international players, skills, teamwork, and coaching improved dramatically. The 2000 Dream Team could not replicate past success, often beating the better teams by less than 20 points rather than around 30 points in past years. The big stunner was when the Lithuania team, a small country in northern Europe, was ahead of the Dream Team in the semi-finals. The Dream Team barely pulled ahead and beat Lithuania by 2 points. Then they beat France in the finals by an unimpressive 10 points to barely win the gold medal.

2004 Summer Olympics
This is where Taboo's theory of Black dominate in international basketball was officially buried. After their disastrous losses, they were no longer named the Dream Team. During the regular games, the US team lost to Puerto Rico (73-92) and Lithuania (90-94) for 3 wins and 2 losses. In the championship rounds, the US team lost to Argentina (81-89) in the semi-finals and went home with the bronze medal.

2008 Summer Olympics
By now Team USA was nicknamed the Redeem Team. The best players of the NBA, primarily of West African descent, trained and practiced hard to redeem themselves from the 2004 Olympics. They won all the regular games and beat Spain in the finals (118-107) to take home the gold medal. Team USA played well, but is was not a domination like in the 1990s.

2012 Summer Olympics
Team USA won the gold medal again, but it was even a closer tournament than 2008. Black player dominance from Team USA did not happen, and it became clear that every race and nationality can compete effectively against Team USA. They beat Spain in the finals (107-100) in a closer game than 2008 to barely win the gold medal.

Another point Jon Entine needs to explain is why Nigeria, a heavily populated country (over 170 million) in West Africa, did so bad in the 2012 Olympics? Nigeria was one of the worst teams, losing 4 out of 5 games in the regular tournament.

Conclusion
Jon Entine needs to write a new book sequel, "Taboo II: Where Jon Entine Went Wrong, and Why He Doesn't Want To Talk About It". Using any of the pictures of the basketball stars above would be a good cover.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Jon Entine, Taboo, and Black Athletes - The Boston Marathon

Jon Entine is a sensationalist journalist and a former member of Steve Sailer's Human BioDiversity (HBD) group way back around the late 1990s to early 2000s. It was his book, "Taboo: Why Black Athletes Dominate Sports and Why We’re Afraid to Talk About It" published in 2000, that gave him some publicity, and his analysis on race, genetics, and sports that got him invited to Sailer's HBD group.

It's been 15 years since Taboo was published. Let's analyze how accurate Entine's analysis and predictions came about. While some of his Sailer-esqe sensationalized pseudo-science and pseudo-journalism have relevant facts, there is always a cloud of doubt, and critical facts refuting their ideas are often omitted.

I'll cover three sports that the book Taboo analyses in depth: The Boston Marathon, Basketball, and Football. First is the Boston Marathon.


Taboo mentions East Africans, such as from Kenya and Ethiopia, are genetically gifted with slow twitch muscles which give them genetic superiority in long distance marathon running. Look at the history of Boston Marathon winners - East Africans from Kenya and Ethiopia have mostly won the first place spot since 1991 for Men's and 1997 for Women's.

Winning the Boston Marathon is an impressive feat. It is a 26.2 mile course and the Men's winners complete the course in a little over two hours. To run a marathon in 2 hours and 11 minutes, you would have to run at a consistent pace of 5 minutes per mile throughout the whole marathon with no breaks.

Jon Entine would like to make it seem East Africans have a astronomically dominant genetic advantage in the marathon, which makes other races genetically incapable of competing or beating East Africans in the marathon. After all, the odds of a Kenyan winning the Men's Boston Marathon from 1991 to 2000 (Taboo was published in 2000) is some astronomical, outrageous figure of many millions times billions to one.

A more realistic analysis into the Boston Marathon shows quite a lot of absurd overexaggerations by Jon Entine. If you look at the Kenyan winners of the Boston Marathon, many of them are repeat winners who have won multiple years. Most of the Kenyan have won first place at least twice, and Robert Kipkoech Cheruiyot from Kenya won five times.

Can other races compete with or even beat East Africans in the marathon? Yes. Just one year after Taboo was published, Lee Bong-Ju from South Korea won the Boston Marathon in 2001. The Men's Kenyan Boston Marathon winners have times from an all time best 2:03:02 to 2:12:40. Here are Boston Marathon winners outside of East Africa since 1980 who have ran the time in the Kenyan winners' time range.

  • 1980 - Bill Rodgers - United States (MA) - 2:12:11
  • 1981 - Toshihiko Seko - Japan - 2:09:26
  • 1982 - Alberto Salazar - United States (MA) - 2:08:52
  • 1983 - Greg Meyer - United States (MI) - 2:09:00
  • 1984 - Geoff Smith - United Kingdom - 2:10:34
  • 1986 - Robert de Castella - Australia - 2:07:51
  • 1987 - Toshihiko Seko - Japan - 2:11:50
  • 1990 - Gelindo Bordin - Italy - 2:08:19
  • 2001 - Lee Bong-Ju - South Korea - 2:09:43

There is a much bigger picture than analyzing just one winner out of thousands of the best marathon runners in the world. Every year thousands of the best marathon runners in the world compete in the Boston Marathon. Let's analyze the top 10 winners of the 2014 Boston Marathon.
  • 1) Meb Keflezighi - United States - 2:08:37
  • 2) Wilson Chebet - Kenya - 2:08:48
  • 3) Franklin Chepkwony - Kenya - 2:08:50
  • 4) Vitaliy Shafar - Ukraine - 2:09:37
  • 5) Markos Geneti - Ethiopia - 2:09:50
  • 6) Joel Kimurer - Kenya - 2:11:03
  • 7) Nicholas Arciniaga - United States - 2:11:47
  • 8) Jeffrey Eggleston - United States - 2:11:57
  • 9) Paul Lonyangata - Kenya - 2:12:34
  • 10) Adil Annani - Morocco - 2:12:43
The first place winner, Meb Keflezighi, is born from East Africa, so I'll count him as an East African like Kenya or Ethopia. In 2014, the top ten winners consisted of 6 East Africans, 3 White European descent (places 4, 7, 8), and one from Morocco which is more Arabic (place 10). They all have respectable times just a few minutes of the first place winner, and demonstrate they can compete against the best Kenyan runners.

The Women's Boston Marathon winners also show a similar story. While East Africans won most of the first place sports since 1997, many of them were repeat winners who won multiple years. White Russian women won the Women's Boston Marathon in 2003 and 2007, and runners all around the world can compete with the East African runners.

Conclusion of Taboo? Well, it was an old book and some parts were right for its time. It got Jon some revenue and publicity. But as a whole package it never passed as credible scientific research; it only survived in isolated pseudo-scientific groups like Sailer's HBD group. Everyone has to make a living, but that book is past and it looks like Jon have moved on to other research areas to make a living.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Telemarketers alert police 900 miles away to domestic violence incident by Walter Ruck

This is one of many race and crime stories you won't see on Steve Sailer's blog or his kind. Telemarketers for Americare Health and Nutrition in Las Vegas were making routine telemarketing calls. Chamille McElroy called a house in Oregon 900 miles away and heard violent struggling and screams on the phone. Chamille alerted her two Hispanic supervisors, Tina Garcia and Mario Gonzalez. The two Hispanic supervisors worked diligently to make sure the phone was not hung up, then contacted the local Linn County Sheriff's office in Oregon. Police soon arrived at the Oregon home where the vicious domestic violence incident was taking place.


The offender is a hateful, violent, deranged 33 year old white male (kind of reminds you of Steve Sailer's target audience) named Walter Warren John Ruck (shown above). When police entered the home, Walter Ruck let go of the woman, who was crying and grasping for air. After an investigation, deputies learned the woman was physically assaulted and smothered with blankets and pillows during the alleged attack. The victim told officials Ruck threatened her with a rifle, shoving the stock of the gun into her chest.

A group of decent, hard working Hispanics saving an innocent person's life from the evil, criminally prone white male. You won't see this story of justice and heroics on Vdare or American Renaissance.

Sunday, January 11, 2015

Terrorism in France: Charlie Hebdo against Islam

Terrorism has struck in France. On January 7, two armed gunman forcibly entered the Charlie Hebdo office in Paris armed with AK-47s and killed 12 staff members and seriously injured several more. Charlie Hebdo is a satirical newspaper that makes satirical jokes and insults against politicians, pop culture, and religion.

In this terrorist attack, the gunman were Islamic, Said Kouachi (34) and his brother Cherif (32) who were seeking revenge for Charlie Hebdo's insulting cartoons against prophet Muhammad and the Islam religion. Here is a picture of the aftermath of the attack in the Charlie Hebdo headquarters.



You can read the details of the attack and aftermath here or any of the numerous articles on the internet. The terrorists were muslim and the victims were a left-wing satirical news organization, but terrorism, whether the terrorists or the victims, is not limited by political affiliation or religion. Back in 2013, I wrote about how political terrorism continues to get worse as long as political factions play with fire (terrorism, violence) and gasoline (insults, slander, hatred, taunts).

The latest Charlie Hebdo attack only confirms this fact, and we all know this will continue. In America, there are many right-wing media personalities (Rush Limbaugh, Glenn Beck, Sean Hannity, ...) and publications (townhall.com, breitbart.com, ...) that make a hefty living making insulting and slanderous statements and publications against millions of people and groups, including Islam. With the path of violence and terrorism inevitably set, it's not a matter of if, but when, the next murders will take place in America just as it has in Paris.

Saturday, November 29, 2014

Election Trends

What have we learned from the 2014 election, and what to future trends hold? It looks like each Congressional election, political parties are going to win in big waves. Like a pendulum, the Presidential elections will swing to the left, with Democrats making big gains. In midterm elections, the pendulum will swing to the right, with Republicans making big gains. It's a little favored toward the Democrats as long as they win the President seat, swinging 4 ticks to the left during the Presidential elections and swinging 3 ticks to the right during midterm elections.

One reason for the large pendulum swings is because Senators have 6 year terms, so in the next election they will face a turn of fortunes. All those Republican Senators who won in 2014 will face an adverse election in the 2020 Presidential election.

While the Democrats have a small advantage, it won't be enough to get anything done, at least for the next several years. It's Congress who writes and introduces new laws, and even during Presidential elections, the Republicans should hold a House majority or 41 Senate seats to filibuster new laws. Republicans may lose one, but they'll keep at least one obstacle. Then in the next midterm election, the Republicans will regain both obstacles.

What are the issues that is defining the political parties?

Taxes
This is where the Republicans have their strongest hand. A few years ago, there was a populist movement to eliminate the failed Bush tax cuts for the rich that exploded our deficit and lead us into a recession. Now that most of the tax cuts for the rich were eliminated in 2013, there really is no desire to raise taxes. Republicans will use this as their strong hand for many years to come. If Democrats try to raise taxes, the results will be disastrous for them.

Democrats, avoid tax increases at all costs. If you do increase taxes, this will greatly strengthen the Republicans. The best way to seek tax revenue is to find ways to eliminate tax loopholes and controversial tax deductions employed by the rich, as well as putting the pressure on tax cheats and evaders.

Illegal Immigrants
This is a controversial issue and a tossup. Republicans like to bring up this topic to portray them as fighting for American citizens over illegal immigrants, but all too often the GOP comes off as being racist and idiotic, and their real agenda is racism and fear that granting citizenship to illegal immigrants will result in more Democratic voters.

Obama seems to have the right approach to the illegal immigration issue, although the Republicans in Congress won't let any of his ideas pass through. Obama's plan is to allow the illegal immigrants who have worked here for a certain number of years to stay without fear of deportation, and offer a pathway to U.S. citizenship as long as they have no criminal record and pay back taxes. Illegal immigrants who have criminal or terrorist ties are deported. Human traffickers are arrested, sentenced, and deported. Those here by illegal human trafficking tactics, such as the abandoned children from Central America last summer, will be deported.

Minimum Wage
Democrats have the advantage here. In referendum votes across America in 2014, voters overwhelmingly approved of minimum wage hikes. Polls show Americans strongly approve of minimum wage hikes. However, the Republicans still dominated the 2014 elections, despite their opposition to minimum wage hikes. So what to make of this?

While Americans agree the current $7.25 an hour minimum wage is too low, most Americans believe around $10 an hour is more appropriate. Going as high as $15 an hour is too high that will only pass higher prices to the customers, and a very high increase would shock businesses. Also, taxes were a greater issue to the voters in 2014, because near minimum wage workers are in the minority of the American labor pool.

Womens' Rights and Abortion
This is the Democrats' strong hand, but this hand was a disappointment in the 2014 elections. What happened? First of all, there were no Republicans making ignorant, offensive, or dumbass statements like "legitimate rape". Second, most of the Republican candidates of 2014 didn't take a strong right-wing, anti-woman stance. When Democrats tried to air attack ads against Republicans, the Republicans successfully defended themselves against the misogynist charges. When the misogynist charges became a non-issue, voters focused on taxes, jobs, and the economy, which the Republicans had the lead.

Conclusion
For the Democrats, read the section on taxes. This is what hurt you the most in the 2014 elections, and this is what you need to fix for future elections.

Thursday, November 20, 2014

How Republican Thom Tillis won the North Carolina Senate Race

There was a U.S. Senate seat in North Carolina up for election in 2014. Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan was seeking a second term, and Republican candidate Thom Tillis was the challenger. Polls showed Hagan was ahead of Tillis mostly throughout the election, yet in a surprise Thom Tillis beat Kay Hagan in the final election, 48.9% to 47.2%. How did Thom Tillis pull off this victory?


This Republican victory is one of the more controversial ones, using high risk and controversial tactics. The campaign started off normal, with Hagan criticizing Tillis for cutting education spending. Thom Tillis was able to defend his record on education, so this criticism died off. Then in October, treats from ISIS and Ebola flooded the news, and Tillis was ready to take positions on these hot topics. Another fortune came for Tillis when Hagan admitted on October 8 that she had missed a classified hearing for Armed Services Committee about ISIS to attend a campaign fundraiser in New York City.

These October events certainly helped Tillis come closer in the polls, but he was still behind and needed more fortunate luck or some new tactics to pull ahead of Hagan. Political races are like poker games, full of big cash, high risk, and high thrills. When Tillis knew he had a good hand, but Hagan probably had a slightly higher hand (you can't see your opponent's cards, but you can make educated guesses), Tillis decided to make a very risky move by increasing the bets, hopefully to intimidate his opponent. The North Carolina U.S. Senate race of 2014 turned out to be the most costly U.S. Senate race so far in American politics, which broke a new record at $113 million.

Another controversial tactic by Thom Tillis was to suppress the minority voters any way possible, especially Black voters who consistently vote around 90% Democrat. Thom Tillis and the Republicans eliminated early voting in North Carolina, where most early voters are African American and/or Democrats.
All of these problems add up to fewer people voting, and election results skewered towards Republicans, who designed the laws. According to Weiser, in 2010, 200,000 voters cast ballots during the early voting days, which were cut by Tillis’s law. In 2012, 700,000 voted during those days; this number accounted for more than a quarter of all of the votes cast African-Americans that year. Weiser writes, “In 2012, 100,000 North Carolinians, almost one-third of whom were, African-American, voted using same day registration, which was not available this year.”

Thom Tillis won by less than 50,000 votes, and allowing those early voters to vote wold have easily reversed Tillis' fortune in the final election.

This was one of the more controversial victories the Democrats could have won if there were better prepared. For the Democrats, you got to get your voters out during every election, not just the Presidential elections. Also, focus more on the state and local elections. Alot of the election policies are set at the state and local levels. The Republicans know this too well, especially with their successful gerrymandering of House Representative districts in 2010.