Steve Sailer Sucks


Racism | Interracial Marriage | Xenophobia | Fascism | Lies
Darwinism | Eugenics | Pseudo-Science | Hypocrisy | Garbage
Pedophilia | Depression | Financial Ruin | Murder Suicide
Fear | Insanity | Digital Footprints | Terrorism

Saturday, July 02, 2016

Donald Trump's bad month of June

Donald Trump won the Republican nomination in early May, one full month earlier than when Hillary Clinton won the Democratic nomination. Back in May, Trump was closing in the polls with Hillary Clinton, and the critical one month advantage would place Trump on a solid victory path.


Then something totally different happened. Trump totally lost his one month advantage. By the end of June, Clinton marched ahead in the polls, well above the margin of error and sometimes ahead by double digits (up to 12 points) in a few polls. Clinton was far ahead in fundraising and successfully portrayed Trump for who he really is -  a racist, sexist, swindler, and con man. Trump's campaign team was in shambles that he fired his campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski. Trying to win the opinion of the general public? Trump is having a hard time winning the opinions of his own Republicans.

Trump trails Clinton in poll numbers, fundraising, and popularity. A one month head start would be a critical advantage for any Presidential candidate, but only a thoroughly incompetent idiot would not only lose the head start, but fall behind. But losing big and going deep into negative territory is nothing new for Donald Trump - just look at his four bankruptcies.

Democrats to give Trump 'rude awakening' in summer onslaught

Donald Trump’s campaign manager is out. Here are the brutal numbers that tell us why.

Thursday, May 12, 2016

Primaries wrap up: Trump vs Clinton


The Presidential primaries have just about come to an end. As I predicted two months ago, despite the dismay and unlikeability of both Republican and Democratic presumptive nominees, it's going to be Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton facing off in the 2016 Presidential Election. I am putting aside any personal bias or feelings toward any candidate or party to provide the most accurate political analysis.

Trump is the only candidate remaining in the Republican party in the primary elimination match. He'll earn all the delegates needed by the last day of the Republican primary on June 7. In the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are in it to the end. Sanders is doing very well, almost tied in total votes with Clinton, but the biased superdelegate votes which consist of one third of the total delegate votes are heavily favoring insiders like Clinton. It will be a long and drawn out Democratic primary that will hinder Clinton, but she only has to win 20 percent of the remaining delegate votes by the last major day of the Democratic primaries on June 7 to win the nomination, which she will achieve.

This will be the most expensive, fiercest, and controversial Presidential election in history. We have the crook, Hillary Clinton, running against the swindler, Donald Trump. Some previews of each candidate.

Hillary Clinton
The staggeringly long primary is being a major burden on her. It's draining funds, time, and resources that can be better used to prepare for the general election. It's also uncertain if Sander's supporters will support and vote for Clinton in the general election, since many of them feel overshadowed by the superdelegates. And the numerous controversies that never seem to go away, but only gets worse over time, most notably the home email server as Secretary of State.

Donald Trump
Makes a lot of enemies. Having trouble getting the support of fellow Republicans in Congress. Takes many radical positions, and spreads lies and misinformation. If he is elected President, the GOP in Congress and the states will suffer because the voters will want checks and balances against a controversial and far right extremist. Continuing civil case for his fraudulent Trump University continues throughout the election, thus earning Donald Trump's nickname, Swindler Trump, like how he nicknames Hillary Clinton as Crooked Hillary.

Friday, March 25, 2016

GOP Wife Battles

Every Presidential race reaches new records and gets more bizarre. We're still in the primaries and the 2016 Presidential race is following the same trend.

Picture from Donald Trump's Twitter site as a result of the wife battle. You guess which one is Melania Trump and which one is Heidi Cruz.

Just yesterday, there was a heated exchange on the GOP side between the two front runners, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, with their wives being caught in the firing line. It's kind of long to write down what happened, so watch this TYT (The Young Turks) video to get the summary.


Wife bashing will surely get these guys riled up, but keep in mind sexist attacks, even against wives, are a long standing tradition among Republicans. Ted Cruz says to keep his attacks on him, not his wife and children. But remember when Barack Obama ran for President back in 2008, the Republicans were quick to make racist and sexist attacks against innocent Michelle Obama. The Republicans were quick to make sexist attacks on President Bill Clinton's wife, Hillary Clinton, back in the 90s, and continue to revamp their sexist attacks on Hillary now that she's running for President.

I think this whole wife attacks between Trump and Cruz is all too funny, but it also gives both of them a taste of their own medicine of the sexist wife attacks their party spewed out for so many years.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Primary Update - March 8 - Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton


After the March 8 primaries, like it or not, it's going to be Republican nominee Donald Trump facing Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

Donald Trump is in strong first place after the March 8 primaries. Second place Ted Cruz is in a respectable second place, but not close enough. Ted Cruz came in a surprisingly strong second place on March 5 and came in slightly ahead of Trump on March 8. With nearly half of the delegate votes awarded, Cruz can only hope for second place spots and an occasional near tie in the remainder of the primaries. Cruz is also going to lose big in the New York primary on April 19 (if he's even around by then), which is Trump's home state and which Cruz made so many enemies with his slander. I don't have the slightest clue why Marco Rubio and John Kasish are still in the race. Rubio is in a far distant third place and even if he achieves his best case scenario by winning his home state of Florida on March 15, he'll still be in third place.

Hillary Clinton is in strong first place. Bernie Sanders has done surprisingly well, but not enough. There's also a bias in the Democratic Party establishment toward Clinton, with the super delegates votes making up one third of Democratic delegate votes which overwhelmingly favor Clinton. A lot of controversy with this rigged voting system.

Unless something drastically changes with the primary elections, that's all I plan to write about for the primaries. You'll see much more comprehensive and detailed analysis of the Presidential elections and results in the coming months. The 2016 Presidential election is just 8 months away.

Thursday, February 11, 2016

New Hampshire Primary: Trump vs Clinton or Sanders


With the New Hampshire primary done on February 9, one thing is clear from the GOP side: Donald Trump is going to be the Republican nominee for the President. The polls showing he would win big were all true, and with Trump's increased momentum and energized crowds, and polls showing he will continue to win in future states, I'll have to put aside any personal feelings about Trump and just state the facts: Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee.

Unlike Hillary Clinton's private email server problems and past scandals and controversial that only grows worse the more she tries to hide it, we all know everything about Donald Trump. Although he is very blunt, insensitive, and has controversies with past casinos, Trump is open and straightforward. He has not hidden any past scandals (at least we know of so far) that grow worse over time.

On the Democratic side, what a mess. Since last summer, the Democratic National Committee assumed their favorite Hillary Clinton would easily win the primary early on, then move on early to fundraise and prepare for the Presidential election. Such shortsighted miscalculations can be dangerous. Instead of  having competition with multiple candidate and let the Democratic voters decide the best candidate, the DNC let arrogance get in their way and dictate that Hillary would be the candidate. Now it's becoming a very lengthy, close battle for the Democrats in the primaries. Even if Hillary wins the nomination, Trump and the Republicans will certainly exploit her numerous and worsening controversies and do tremendous damage to her campaign.

On March 1 called Super Tuesday, there will be 14 states that will have their primary elections. I'll report on March 2 with the results and analysis. By then Trump should be so far ahead he has effectively clinched the Republican nomination, and all other Republican should concede and drop out (unless they want to continue to rack up debts to a hopeless cause). Then the GOP will start preparing for the main election. For the Democrats, it's unlikely the nominee will be known by March 2. It's more like March 16, after Super Tuesday when another dozen states have their primaries for Democrats, we'll determine the Democratic nominee. But the Democratic primaries can go into April, since it is a tossup.

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

2016 Presidential Race Begins with Iowa


The 2016 Presidential Race has officially started with the first primary elections (Iowa calls it a caucus) starting in Iowa on February 1. So many changes since my last analysis on October 28. Just like many polls, pundits, and analysts made mistakes back in October, so did I. Among my worst errors:

* Hillary Clinton would easily secure the Democratic nomination.
* Ben Carson would be the toughest competitor against GOP front runner Donald Trump.

With the Iowa caucus results in, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are pretty much tied. Hillary barely beats Bernie by a hair by 0.3 points (49.9% to 49.6%). As solid and invincible as Hillary seemed in the past, Bernie continued to be faithful, diligent, and persistent. Hillary Clinton's old problems did not just fade away, her problems only compounded into worsening problems. Her private email server as Secretary of State worsened, as the FBI and DOJ launched investigations, only to find she stored and mishandled top secret classified emails on her unsecured private email server. Then there are the rise of terrorist groups and an ever worsening situation in the Middle East which she could not contain, and unending situations of unscrupulous campaign donations and finances. What formerly seemed like a sure Democratic nomination is now a tossup that will go late in the primary season, like April or after, to see who wins the Democratic nomination.

The winners of the Republican party are Ted Cruz (28% votes, 8 delegates), Donald Trump (24% votes, 7 delegates), and Marco Rubio (23% votes, 7 delegates). Everyone else received less than 10% percent of votes, and if any of those GOP candidates fail to make it in the top 3 in the coming few weeks, their campaign is dead.

The surprises on the Republican side was that Ted Cruz won first place, and Marco Rubio came in a strong third place, almost tying with Trump. Recent polls just a few days ago showed Trump was barely leading Cruz by about 3 or 4 points. I am convinced it has to do with Trump's miscalculation to skip the GOP Presidential debate in Iowa, hosted by Fox News, that was held just a few days away from the Iowa Caucus date. Trump's arrogance got to him, and enough Iowan voters viewed Trump's absence from the debate as a sign of snobbish arrogance which turned off enough voters and switch to Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, or others who showed diligence by making the effort to attend the debate and humbly reach out to the voters. Also, the Fox News debate was so close to the Iowa Caucus, just a few days away, that polls didn't have enough time to pick up the changed reactions of the Iowan voters.

Nevertheless, Donald Trump seemed to learn his lesson when he gave his speech that night, after he realized he came in second place. Trump still has a strong standing, with 7 delegate votes, just one vote behind Ted Cruz, and there are 49 more states to go in this long primary election.

What seemed like a sure Trump vs Clinton election is now a likely Trump vs Clinton or Sanders election. The next primary is February 9 in New Hampshire.

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Update on Steve Sailer


I've been getting criticism that my blog has little to do with Steve Sailer, just a rambling on politics. Yes, those critics have a point. I've covered Steve Sailer more extensively before 2008, but in recent years it's been more focused on Steve Sailer's favorite right-wing political party and how to counter them. Seven years ago or more makes a big difference, so I'll be posting and exposing Steve Sailer and his group more often. I'll continue to analyze his fallacies and lies in race, crime, and politics as well, though time may be constrained.

To start off, take a look on Steve Sailer's non-credentials in science and journalism. Also, here is an updated picture of him in his late 50s (He was born in December 20, 1958), which is now part of this blog header. You can see Steve Sailer is old and decaying, a living fossil ready to collect Social Security soon. The previous picture of the red-headed Steve Sailer was him in his late 30s, so that does no justice to falsely portray him as a young guy. Keep in mind his health and physical stature have been troubled since he was diagnosed with non-Hodgkin lymphoma in 1996. He was treated a year after and has been in remission since then.

Steve Sailer's non-credentials in science and journalism

Steve Sailer has some writing skills, but what are his credentials in the field of science or journalism? Despite his fancy rhetoric, Steve Sailer is not a doctor, or scientist, or professor. He is not even a reputable journalist. These are his credentials.

1980 - Undergraduate degree from Rice University in economics, history, and management.

1982 - MBA from UCLA in 1982, concentrating in finance and marketing.

Worked for a small marketing company doing statistical analysis in the 1980s.

Wrote sporadic articles for the National Review, a far right-wing magazine, from 1994 to 1998.

Journalist for the United Press International (UPI) from 2000 to 2003. During this time UPI had the worst reputation ever for their shoddy journalism and right-wing bias, which is the only kind of job Steve can find.

Wrote sporadic articles for The American Conservative, another far right-wing magazine.

Writer for VDare and Taki Magazine, even further right-wing, white supremacist sites.

Steve Sailer never accomplished anything in the field of science or journalism. He has no credentials working in any reputable or mainstream journalist or media company. Steve Sailer is nothing more than a freelance writer, desperately writing for far right-wing and white supremacist pseudo-journalist sites. He only makes a little more than a minimum wage payout from the few dollars he receives from VDare and Taki, and the spare change donations from his readers he constantly needs to panhandle from his blog. He's so poor he has to live with his adoptive father in Los Angeles, because he cannot support himself and his family.

Sunday, November 15, 2015

2015 Election Analysis

Since the Presidential and Congressional elections are held on even years, the odd year elections like 2015 are primarily for state level politicians, such as state governor and legislature seats. While the odd year elections have relatively smaller turnout and press coverage than the even year elections, the odd year elections are still very important that affects millions of Americans across the nation. Since the deadlocks and checks and balances in Congress and the White House make it almost impossible to get anything accomplished at the federal level, it is far more realistic to look to the state and local levels to get anything done.

In short summary, the Republicans solidly won the 2015 elections. Not a thorough domination like 2014, but a solid win for the Republicans. State governor seats for Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi were up for election in 2015. Republican incumbents in Louisiana and Mississippi easily won re-election.

The Kentucky governor seat was the hot seat every analyst was watching. Democrat Governor Steve Beshear was elected back in 2007 in Kentucky, a solidly Republican state. Steve Beshear reach his second term limit in 2015, so two new candidates were running for the Kentucky governor's seat. They were vast opposites, Democrat Jack Conway would continue Gov. Beshear's liberal policies, while Republican Matt Bevin was opposed to Obamacare and promised to take down Kentucky's state version of Obamacare if elected. Polls throughout the campaign showed a tossup and close call, but the final election day results showed Republican Matt Bevin solidly won 53% to 44%.

In purple swing state Virginia, Democrats invested heavily to win the majority of the Virginia state senate, but failed to do so. Democrats could not win state legislature seats to any significant degree. This is after the Democrats lost so many state legislatures across the nation since Obama came into power in 2009.

This wiki chart (Historical party strength) shows Democratic control of state governors and legislatures are at an all time low in many decades, with the decline starting around 2010.

In other election results around the nation, Houston TX voters had a referendum vote to secure non-discrimination protections for gay and transgender people. It failed by a 2-to-1 margin. In a rare bright light for the Democrats in 2015, Democrats won all three open seats up for election on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court.

While the Democrats have a small lead at the federal level with the President's seat, we have to look at the whole picture, which includes the state governor seats and legislatures. The state level is even more important than the federal level, because that is where Americans can realistically expect to get any legislation done, not with the deadlocks in Congress and the White House. So looking at the whole picture at the federal and state levels, the Republicans have a small lead.

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

President Obama Skewers GOP Candidates Who 'Can't Handle A Bunch Of CNBC Moderators'

Politics is always intense and hard hitting, especially when you are running for President. There's also comedy and hypocrisy involved.

In the latest examples of comedy and hypocrisy, President Obama mocks the Republican Presidential candidates who complained the CNBC moderators were asking them tough questions last debate.


President Obama Skewers GOP Candidates Who 'Can't Handle A Bunch Of CNBC Moderators'
President Barack Obama took shots at the Republican presidential candidates who have accused him of being weak on foreign policy, telling supporters on Monday that the GOP’s criticisms are unfounded because they “can’t handle a bunch of CNBC moderators,” referencing their outrage over last week’s CNBC Republican debate."Let me tell you, if you can’t handle those guys, then I don’t think the Chinese and the Russians are going to be too worried," he said at a Democratic fundraiser in New York.
And this was after CNBC decided to limit the debate to 2 hours, when the GOP candidates were complaining that 3 hours was too long in the other debates. Well, you need more time in a debate to cover so many more candidates (at least 10 for the GOP), and even though CNBC didn't host those previous 3 hour Republican debates, they met the GOP candidates' demands.
Common sense would tell you that with such limited time to cover so many candidates, CNBC would logically present more thought provoking questions. Now the Republicans are whining about this again. Are they going to whine again when dealing with leaders of countries like China, Russia, or the world? Are they going to whine again when the heat picks up with domestic issues in the U.S.? You bet they'll whine, cry, and throw tantrums.

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Presidential Race Analysis - October 28, 2015

What's going on with the Presidential Race of 2016 so far? It will constantly change and many surprises are sure to come up. The Democrats had their first Presidential nominee debate on October 13 and the Republicans already had two debates, with their third one coming up this night of October 28. Also, how will the leading candidates fare when the election comes up in just 12 months, and the race really gets rolling in a mere 8 months for the selected nominees?


Democrats

Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Presidential nominee running in 2016. Bernie Sanders was a distant second place in the polls, and after the Democratic debate on October 13, Hillary strengthened her lead. She didn't do great, but okay. However, there were just four other candidates who all were disappointing, so Hillary did relatively well. Bernie Sanders had a mediocre performance and could not improve desperately needed ratings to compete with Hillary. The other three never were on the radar map, and never will be. Two of them so far dropped out.

With Hillary Clinton destined to be the Democratic Presidential nominee, how will she fare in the final election? Nothing is certain so early, but much of it will be determined who the Republican nominee will be. She won't have many advantages Barack Obama had during his campaigns of 2008 and 2012. Obama had stronger support, compared to past Democratic Presidential candidates, from voters who are young (age 18 to 29), minorities, and women.

Hillary will likely retain strong support from women voters similar to Obama. However, it's skeptical if she will do as well with the young and minorities as Obama. Obama was age 48 old when he was campaigning in 2008. Hillary will be age 69 turning 70 during the campaign. For minority voters, it's been historically proven Black and Hispanic voters vote 89% and 62% Democrat during Presidential elections. When Obama was running, Black and Hispanic voters voting for him shot up to 93% and 69%, and voter turnout of minorities increased. With Hillary running, Black and Hispanic voters will likely return to normal levels of 89% and 62%, and turnout will be a little lower to normal levels.

Much of Hillary's success will be determined by the Republican nominee who is running against her.


Republicans

The two GOP candidates in the top tier (20+ poll ratings) are Donald Trump and Ben Carson.

Donald Trump - Everyone knows him, and his celebrity status is the highest among all Republican and Democratic candidates, which translates well into the polls. Although I don't see how someone who is arrogant, throws childish insults and tantrums against so many people, and involved in some controversial and risky businesses like casinos is going to win the general election, Donald Trump has shown determination and mastered the television, video, and social media. He has surpassed all expectations. A few months ago, polls showing him running against Hillary shows Hillary the strong winner by a wide margin. Now those matchup polls show Donald just a few points behind Hillary, within the margin of error.

Ben Carson - I think he has the best chance of beating Hillary and becoming the next President. Ben Carson was in a steady second place the last few months. Now Ben has been catching up to Donald, almost tied and both of them fluctuating a few points either way. In other words, Ben Carson is about tied with Donald Trump.

Matchup polls of  Ben Carson vs Hillary Clinton show Ben ahead a few points, but usually in the margin of error. He is a Black man who grew up in a poor area in Detroit raised by a single mother. He worked hard and diligently to become a successful neurosurgeon, which will help win minority voters. While Black and Hispanic voters are not going to vote Republican in the majority, Ben Carson will most likely limit the Black voters to less than 85% Democrat and Hispanic voters to less than 60% Democrat. In a very close Presidential race, this will be enough to lead Ben Carson to victory.

The GOP candidates in the second tier (5 to 12 percent poll ratings) are Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, and Carla Fiorina. There will only be one Republican Presidential candidate running in 2016, and even coming a close second is not good enough. These guys in the second tier are nowhere close to even second place, so if they don't significantly improve by December, they are effectively gone for 2016.

Third tier, not even close, and not worth the time mentioning them.