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Friday, November 09, 2012

2012 Election Analysis: Race

Barack Obama won his second term as President of the United States in 2012.  How did race play a role in this election, what are the trends, and what is the future?  Data is from the CNN Election 2012 website, as with my previous election analyses to keep comparisons consistent.

Obama won with 51% of the popular vote, Romney got 48% (These are estimates, as more votes are still being counted, especially in Florida.  I will update this once the official results are out).  Romney won a record high white voters (59%), so according to the Sailer Strategy, Romney should have demolished Obama in the elections.

It was nowhere even close.  Obama soundly defeated Romney because the Sailer Strategy died a long time ago, and keeps getting buried deeper in the grave every year.  The White vote declined from 74% in 2008 to 72% in 2012.

The two fastest growing minority groups, Latinos and Asians, grew substantially and voted Democrat in even greater numbers and proportion.  From 2008 to 2012, the Latino vote increased from 9% to 10% (about a 11% increase) and the Asian vote increased from 2% to 3% (about a 50% increase).

Even more impressive is that the proportion of Latinos and Asians voting Democrat increased to record highs; from 2008 to 2012, Latinos voting for Obama increased from 67% to 71% and Asians voting for Obama increased from 62% to 73%.

By the 2016 election the white vote should further decline to 69% or 70% and the Latino and Asian voters will take the place of the lost white voter percentages.  And with Presidential elections costing not just hundreds of millions of dollars, but constantly increasing into the billions of dollars, losing elections is proving to be fatal on tight finances.


  • Keep up the good work, bro. Steve Sailer needs to be exposed for the fraud that he is. Sailer is a harmful racist of a type that is more dangerous than the KKK.
    While the Klansmen and Nazis are at least honest about
    their racist beliefs, Sailer pretends to be a moderate, reasonable person while hiding his racism behind a facade
    of pseudo-scientific double-talk.

    He praises and publicizes the work of discredited right-wing-fringe pseudo-scientists while disparaging mainstream academics who are well resepected in their fields. If anyone questions his lies, he says they are just being politically correct.

    It’s a big load of bull, and it’s part of an effort to give mainstream credibility to the Radical Right lunatic fringe. Unfortunately, some people are fooled by this nonsense.

    By Anonymous LBK, at 9:33 PM  

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