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Monday, November 19, 2012

2016 Electoral Map Outlook

Here is my outlook of the 2016 Electoral Map.


The electoral map and America continues to turn more Democratic, despite all the obstructionist and smear tactics of the losing Republicans.

In 2012, there were 7 battleground states:
Florida (29), Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4)

So the electoral vote distribution in 2012 was:
Blue (Democrat): 247
Red (Republican): 206
Battleground: 85

In my 2016 electoral map above, the overall trend across all states is to become more Democratic.  Battleground states Nevada (6) and New Hampshire (4) will turn into weak blue states.  North Carolina (15), which was a weak red state, will turn into a battleground state.  The remaining battleground states will shift in favor of Democratic, but not yet enough to be considered weak blue states.

In 2016, the 6 battleground states should be:
Florida (29), Ohio (18), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13), Colorado (9), Iowa (6),

So the electoral vote distribution in 2016 should be:

Blue (Democrat): 257
Red (Republican): 191
Battleground: 90

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