2012 Election Prediction
Obama gets 332 Electoral Votes, Romney gets 206 EV (270 EV needed to win)
Obama gets 51.8% of the Popular Vote, Romney gets 47.2% PV, All Others get 1.0% PV
The battleground states throughout the election are (number is electoral votes of the state): Florida (29), Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10), Colorado (9), Nevada (9), Iowa (9), New Hampshire (4)
Most polls and election prediction sites predict Romney will win Florida by a very small margin, and Obama will win all the other battleground states. This would place Obama with 303 electoral votes.
I am predicting Obama will win Florida, thus winning all the battleground states. The polls show a very weak Romney lead in Florida of less than 1.0 percent. Since the overwhelming majority of Florida's population growth comes from Latinos, this should set the stage for Obama to win Florida.
Mitt Romney lost so many Latino voters during the campaign, and Latinos tend to be undercounted in polls, since polls like to stay with the same audience year every year. Also, Jeb Bush and Katherine Harris are no longer in power in Florida to tamper with the results like in 2000. All these factors set the path to make Florida a victory for Obama.