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Sunday, November 11, 2012

Obama officially wins Florida

Florida has officially counted all votes and declared Obama the winner by a fair margin, 50.0% Obama to 49.1% Romney.  My electoral vote prediction came out correct for all 50 states.

My popular vote projection (51.8% Obama, 47.2% Romney, 1.0% Other) was a little off.  With just about all votes counted, the actual popular vote is looking to be 50.5% Obama, 47.9% Romney, 1.6% Other.  Obama did worse with the White vote than anticipated; Obama won 43% of the White vote in 2008.  In 2012, I thought Obama would win 40% of the White vote but he ended up with 39%.  Also, more voters voted for a different candidate than Democrat or Republican.

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