Steve Sailer Sucks


Racism | Interracial Marriage | Xenophobia | Fascism | Lies
Darwinism | Eugenics | Pseudo-Science | Hypocrisy | Garbage
Pedophilia | Depression | Financial Ruin | Murder Suicide
Fear | Insanity | Digital Footprints | Terrorism

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Fiscal Cliff 2012


The news that is dominating Capitol Hill is the fiscal cliff of 2012.  A brief summary of the fiscal cliff, the Bush tax cuts were going to expire December 31, 2010.  President Obama and the Republicans in Congress could not reach an agreement back then, so they extended it to expire December 31, 2012 unless they agree to a new tax plan.

Obama and the Democrats want to preserve the tax rates for the middle class, while allowing the tax rates revert to their higher levels and close many loopholes for the highest two tax brackets, the richest 2 percent of households making over $200,000 annually.  The Republicans don't want the rich to pay higher taxes, so they are obstructing the tax plan.

What's the best thing to do?  Present Obama's original tax proposal, although some compromises can be made out.  If the Republicans reject it and no deal is made, just let the Bush tax cuts expire for everyone.  It will reduce the deficit faster, and while for the next year the economic recovery will be stalled as Americans adjust to the new tax rates, America will soon adjust and the deficit will be reduced and the economy will finally get off to the right path of growth and stability.

We saw firsthand how Bush's tax cuts that strongly favored the rich turned out to be a disastrous failure, and turned a record surplus into a record deficit.  We saw how Clinton's tax plan produced an incredibly strong economy and America, and turned a large deficit into a surplus.  We know what works and what failed.

Assuming the Bush tax cuts expire for everyone, the Democrats in Congress can introduce tax plans to reduce taxes for the middle class.  If the Republicans block it because the rich are not receiving tax cuts, it will make good ammunition for the Democrats in upcoming elections.

The deck is stacked and John Boehner and the GOP are on the losing end.  It's just a matter of how Obama carries this out, and if he will show leadership and maturity this time around.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Female Republican Felon - Roxanne Rubin of Henderson, Nevada

The sore loser Republicans continue to cry and whine over their 2012 election losses, and their crybaby tactics are getting very costly as they are getting arrested for felonies.  In Henderson, Nevada (next to Las Vegas), 56 year old Roxanne Rubin, a registered Republican, tried to vote twice in the 2012 elections.  She worked for the Riviera hotel-casino as a hostess.


Roxanne Rubin, Nevada Republican, Arrested For Allegedly Trying To Vote Twice

Roxanne Rubin voted early on October 29 at her precinct in Henderson.  She then tried to vote again at another polling site in Las Vegas.  When election workers discovered she already voted earlier, Roxanne tried to cover up and vote anyway.

The police and FBI were notified and soon arrested Roxanne.  She is facing felony charges of voter fraud punishable up to four years in prison and a felony record.

Stupid is as stupid does.  She goes all out to support the party that hates women and scorns low income workers like her.  Then she tries to vote twice, only to be convicted of a felony that will revoke her voting rights.  She is likely to be fired from her job.  With her prison time, felony record, and digital footprints of her crimes, it will be extremely difficult for her to make a living, and impossible to further support the GOP.

The GOP is declining anyway, so her loss will further accelerate their decline.  Roxanne tried to give everything to the GOP, now where is the GOP to support and give back to her?  All too funny and exhilarating.

Monday, November 19, 2012

2016 Electoral Map Outlook

Here is my outlook of the 2016 Electoral Map.


The electoral map and America continues to turn more Democratic, despite all the obstructionist and smear tactics of the losing Republicans.

In 2012, there were 7 battleground states:
Florida (29), Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4)

So the electoral vote distribution in 2012 was:
Blue (Democrat): 247
Red (Republican): 206
Battleground: 85

In my 2016 electoral map above, the overall trend across all states is to become more Democratic.  Battleground states Nevada (6) and New Hampshire (4) will turn into weak blue states.  North Carolina (15), which was a weak red state, will turn into a battleground state.  The remaining battleground states will shift in favor of Democratic, but not yet enough to be considered weak blue states.

In 2016, the 6 battleground states should be:
Florida (29), Ohio (18), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13), Colorado (9), Iowa (6),

So the electoral vote distribution in 2016 should be:

Blue (Democrat): 257
Red (Republican): 191
Battleground: 90

House election results of 2012

Here are the House election results of 2012.

Democrats have won 201 seats, Republicans have won 234 seats, out of 435.

Democrats won 8 seats in the House (was 193 Dem - 242 Rep before).

Republicans still control the House (218 seats for majority), but the Democrats made impressive gains.

Democrats won the total popular vote of all House races by a small margin (less than one percent), but the Republicans still maintain the majority.  Two factors:

1) Republicans benefited from the 2010 redistricting by gerrymandering.

2) Democrats tend to populate closer in fewer, larger districts.

So for Democrats to continue winning elections, consider moving to less populated areas and especially battleground states.  If you are in one of the heavily populated blue states, consider this.

California - Move to Nevada or Arizona

New York - Move to New Hampshire, Ohio, Indiana, or Virginia

Illinois - Move to Iowa, Indiana, Ohio, or Missouri

Every state gets two senators regardless of population, and electoral votes for each state is the number of Senators (2) plus the number of House representatives in the state.  So your voting power increases in a smaller state.

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Sore losers of the 2012 elections

There sure are many sore losers out there who resent that President Obama won the 2012 election. I just posted a bunch of them below this post.  So these evil mix of crybabies and criminals do their usual thing and commit crimes to get themselves, their familes, associates, and the GOP into trouble.

Good for them.  With their digital footprints embedded on the internet to ruin them for life, they will face even harder times.  The Republicans are constantly declining in numbers and power, and with more of the right-wing racists in trouble, their decline goes much steeper downward.

Kevin Daryl Salvo of South Carolina arrested after threatening president


SC man arrested after threatening president


CHARLESTON, S.C. (AP) — A Charleston County man is in jail after authorities say he called 911 on election night and threatened to shoot President Obama.

Charleston County sheriff's deputies say 51-year-old Kevin Daryl Salvo of Johns Island called the emergency number twice Tuesday night. A 911 dispatcher told officers that during the call, a man cursed all Democrats.

He demanded that all Democrats stay away from him and also told the dispatcher "the South will rise again."

Deputies arrested Salvo late Tuesday night shortly after Obama was declared the winner.

He's in jail on an $1,100 bond. It was not immediately clear if he has an attorney.

David Hatmaker, Jacob Kupp, Austin Bowen of Orlando, Florida arrested for stealing Obama signs, yelling racial slurs


Mugshots above: David Hatmaker, Jacob Kupp, Austin Bowen

Three Men Arrested for Stealing Obama Signs, Yelling Racial Slurs, According to FHP

Three Orlando men were none-too-thrilled that Barack Obama won reelection as Black President last week, so they decided to drink their sorrows away, then also go drive through a mostly black neighborhood stealing Obama campaign signs while yelling out racial slurs at people, according to the Florida Highway Patrol.


Because, MURICA!

The three drove around Holden-Parramore in Orlando in a pickup truck (because, of course!) and stole campaign signs as well as stop signs, a Lee Avenue and Citrus Street sign, a daycare loading-zone sign, a bus stop sign, and a mailbox. Because Obama's gonna take our guns, so we best remove street signs so he doesn't find us. Also, in case he decides to take the bus.

The trio were stopped by cops and nailed for DUI. For their part, the trio went with the We found these random street signs and a mailbox on the ground and were totally gonna do our good deed of the day and take 'em to you guys bit.

It was a good plan. But the cops were on to them.

The pickup's driver, Jacob Kupp, 23, was booked for DUI. David Hatmaker, 23, and Austin Bowen, 22, both of Orlando, were also taken in at about 1:30 a.m. Wednesday morning.

Christopher Castillo arrested for death threat against President Obama


Christopher Castillo Arrested After Threatening To Kill Obama On Facebook


A Florida man was arrested this November after posting threatening messages about President Barack Obama on Facebook. When Secret Service agents came to question 28-year-old Christopher Castillo of Melbourne, FL about his violent comments, The Smoking Gun reports that the situation quickly deteriorated.

On Nov. 1, Castillo wrote the following on Facebook, apparently in response to Obama's views on health care:

That’s the last straw, if he gets re-elected I’m going to hunt him down and kill him watch the life disappear from his eyes.
Threatening the U.S. president's life is never taken lightly. After a tip-off from a concerned citizen, Secret Service agents arrived at Castillo's Melbourne home on Nov. 8 to investigate his intentions behind the Facebook post.

Mitchell Kenneth Kusick of Westminster, Colorado arrested for death threats against President Obama


Man Accused of Threatening to Assassinate Obama Arrested in Colo.

A Colorado man was arrested after his therapist reported his threats to assassinate President Obama and shoot children on Halloween.


Mitchell Kenneth Kusick, of Westminster, Colo., is a student at Colorado Mesa University in western Colorado and, acquaintances said, the last person they’d expect to make such threats.

One of Kusick’s peers at Broomfield High School, from which the two graduated in 2011, told KUSA-TV in Denver that the would-be assassin came from a nice neighborhood and seemed normal.

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Return on Investment in the 2012 Elections

The Sunlight Foundation has a comprehensive analysis of the major donating organizations of the 2012 elections and their effective return on investment.  The choice is clear, Democrats by far give you the best return on investment.  Next time you throw in a few million dollars into an election, be careful not to burn it recklessly.

PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES
98.59%   $5.1 mil

Planned Parenthood Action Fund Inc.
97.82%   $6.9 mil

MAJORITY PAC
87.86%   $37.5 mil

SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION PEA-FEDERAL
84.65%   $15.2 mil

DEMOCRATIC SENATORIAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE
79.73%   $52.1 mil

WOMEN VOTE!
78.81%   $7.9 mil

LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS INC
78.18%   $10.9 mil

WORKERS' VOICE
76.14%   $5.9 mil

SEIU COPE
74.94%   $14.6 mil

AMERICAN ACTION NETWORK INC
60.33%   $11.8 mil

AMERICANS FOR TAX REFORM
57.35%   $15.8 mil

CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND
54.00%   $9.5 mil

HOUSE MAJORITY PAC
51.39%   $30.8 mil

DEMOCRATIC CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE
45.94%   $61.7 mil

INDEPENDENCE USA PAC
45.74%   $8.2 mil

AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES PEOPLE
44.60%   $12.7 mil

PATRIOT MAJORITY USA
42.52%   $7.5 mil

CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION
41.37%   $16.6 mil

NATIONAL REPUBLICAN CONGRESSIONAL COMMITTEE
31.88%   $64.7 mil

FREEDOMWORKS FOR AMERICA
24.59%   $19.2 mil

NATIONAL REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL COMMITTEE
24.05%   $31.7 mil

ENDING SPENDING ACTION FUND
15.34%   $13.2 mil

CROSSROADS GRASSROOTS POLICY STRATEGIES
14.40%   $70.7 mil

NOW OR NEVER PAC
14.30%   $7.8 mil

NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION
10.71%   $7.4 mil

US CHAMBER OF COMMERCE
6.90%   $32.7 mil

AMERICAN FUTURE FUND
5.57%   $24.0 mil

AMERICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE LEADERSHIP
1.96%   $5.0 mil

AMERICAN CROSSROADS
1.29%   $104.7 mil

NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND
0.82%   $11.8 mil

Young Female Republican Felon: Holly Solomon of Gilbert, Arizona

These sore loser Republicans are taking the 2012 elections very hard.  In Gilbert, Arizona (east of Phoenix), Holly Solomon, 28, was so disappointed with Obama's election victory that she had a big fight with her husband because he did not vote in the election.  Holly Solomon then ran over her husband with an SUV, leaving him in critical condition.

Now a young and female Republican is going to jail and facing felony charges.  Another Republican, especially a prized one, down and out.  She should be charged with a felony and placed in prison, so she won't be able to vote.  But that is the very least of her and the GOP's troubles.

Holly's criminal actions will place much negative publicity on the already troubled Republicans, especially when the public sees what kind of felons and scumbags the GOP produces.  And when she gets out of prison, she will have a felony record, an incarceration record, and digital footprints that will ruin her for the rest of her life, where ever she goes.


Holly Solomon, Arizona wife, runs over husband Daniel for not voting, Obama re-election

GILBERT, Ariz. - A Mesa woman was arrested Saturday after she allegedly chased her husband around a Gilbert parking lot in an SUV during an argument over the presidential election.

The woman finally ran over her husband, leaving him with critical injuries.

According to a Gilbert police report, the argument started over her husband's lack of voter participation in the recent election.

Holly Solomon, 28, apparently believed her family was going to face hardship as a result of President Barack Obama's re-election.

Solomon's husband, Daniel Solomon, told police his wife "just hated Obama" and was very angry he was re-elected and blamed the President for problems her family is going through.

Witnesses reported a lot of yelling just before Holly got into a Jeep SUV and began chasing her husband through the parking lot near Gilbert and Elliot roads.

...

Holly was taken into custody and booked into jail for domestic violence charges of aggravated assault.

Monday, November 12, 2012

Democrats make gains in the House, Republicans maintain control

Of the 435 seats in the House of Representatives, votes are still being counted for 7 seats.  Already the Democrats have made gains in the elections, but the Republicans retain control.

Before the 2012 election, Republicans had 242 seats and Democrats had 193 seats.

After the 2012 election, Republicans have won 233 seats and Democrats have won 195 seats.  Another 7 seats are still being counted and the Democrats have narrow leads in all 7 undetermined House races.  218 seats are necessary to earn the majority in the House and Democrats are in good shape to win at least 200 seats.

Recounts and lawsuits are being filed and it may not be December until all House seats are officially declared.

Denise Helms fired and possibly under arrest after racist slur and death threat

Denise Helms, a 22 white woman from Turlock, California (east of San Francisco) made a racist and terroristic threat against President Obama on her Facebook page.  She wrote:

“Another 4 years of this (N-word),” Helms wrote on her Facebook Tuesday night. “Maybe he will get assassinated this term.”

She was then fired from her job at the Cold Stone Creamery and the Secret Service is determining if Denise committed a felony by making a terroristic threat against the President and if she should be arrested.

Your typical sore loser Republican got what she deserved.  She is also young and female, two important voting groups the GOP desperately lacks, so that spells more troubles for the GOP's future.

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Don't Neglect the Women Vote


National elections in the United States are consistently getting more expensive.  Not too long ago House and Senate elections cost millions of dollars, and Presidential elections costs hundreds of millions.   2012 set new records as usual as some House and even more Senate elections cost tens of millions, and the Presidental election costs reached in the billions.

Every year women voters outnumber men voters by a consistent margin, 53% women to 47% men.  This goes for all elections, even the less popular odd year elections.  Bring out your calculators and do the math, there are an average of 1.128 women voters for every 1 male voter in the elections.

So to break even in the gender gap, the Republican must win 1.128 men voters for every one female vote the Democrat wins.  Obama won 55 percent of the women vote in 2012.  For Romney to break even in the gender gap, he needed to win 62 percent of the men vote.  Mitt Romney came nowhere close, he only won 52 percent of the men vote and lost the election by a substantial margin.

With the increasingly staggering costs of elections, mistakes like these are proving devastating for the GOP.

Obama officially wins Florida

Florida has officially counted all votes and declared Obama the winner by a fair margin, 50.0% Obama to 49.1% Romney.  My electoral vote prediction came out correct for all 50 states.

My popular vote projection (51.8% Obama, 47.2% Romney, 1.0% Other) was a little off.  With just about all votes counted, the actual popular vote is looking to be 50.5% Obama, 47.9% Romney, 1.6% Other.  Obama did worse with the White vote than anticipated; Obama won 43% of the White vote in 2008.  In 2012, I thought Obama would win 40% of the White vote but he ended up with 39%.  Also, more voters voted for a different candidate than Democrat or Republican.

Saturday, November 10, 2012

Biggest Democratic Winners of 2012

While the Republicans are facing staggering losses in the 2012 elections, losses for the GOP translate to big wins for the Democrats.  Who are the winners of the 2012 elections?


President Barack Obama

The most prized seat in American politics was won by Barack Obama for a second time and by a strong margin.  The Republicans in Congress desperately tried to ruin Obama in his first term with their obstructionist policies and smear tactics, but they failed and their dependency on extremists, racists, misogynists, anti-government terrorists, religious nuts, and excessively rich Americans backfired.


Elizabeth Warren, elected Senator of Massachusetts

The Senate race of 2012 that drew the most attention, as well as setting a record for the most costly Senate race at $70 million, was in Massachusetts between Republican incumbent Scott Brown and Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren.

When Senator Edward Kennedy died in 2009, Scott Brown ran in the special election for the Senate seat.  Although he was a Republican in a very liberal state, Scott presented himself as a moderate and was fortunate his opponent was not well prepared and made gaffes during the campaign.  In January 2010, Scott Brown stunned the political arena and won Ted Kennedy's Senate seat.

Now Elizabeth Warren, former Harvard Law professor, won the election by a comfortable margin.  She campaigned on favoring the middle class over the ultra rich and large corporations, consumer rights, and traditional liberal ideals.


Democratic Senate

This was supposed to be the year the Republicans were going to take back the Senate.  The Democrats had 51 Senate seats plus 2 Independent Senate seats who are friendly to the Democrats, for a total of 53 Senate seats.  The GOP were poised to win a few Senate seats and possibly the majority, because of the 33 Senate seats up for re-election in 2012, 23 seats were Democrat and only 10 seats were Republican.

Karl Rove and the Republican fundraisers poured untold millions into GOP Senate candidates.  Even in August, polls show the GOP may gain as many as five Senate seats.

Instead the Democrats fought back well and won two more Senate seats, for a total of 55 Senate seats.  Major blunders like two GOP Senate candidates making stupid comments on rape and abortion and attacks on Planned Parenthood turned off women, their close affiliations to unpopular extremist groups like the Tea Party and anti-immigration groups turned off minorities, and their favoritism for the ultra rich over the middle class.

Not only did the Democrats win the Senate against hard odds, but future elections are looking brighter.  In 2012, 23 Democrat and 10 Republican seats were up for election.  This margin will narrow in 2014, when 20 Democrat and 13 Republican seats are up for election.  In 2016, the Democrats will have the advantage when 10 Democrat seats and 24 Republican seats are up for election.


Women

Excerpts from the CNN article on women in the 2012 elections.

20 women now hold seats in the Senate

New Hampshire now has an all female congressional delegation and a newly-elected female governor, former state Sen. Maggie Hassan.

Democrat Elizabeth Warren beat incumbent Republican Scott Brown in the high profile Massachusetts Senate race.

Democratic incumbent Claire McCaskill defeated Republican challenger, U.S. Representative Todd Akin-whose comments about a woman's body preventing pregnancy after "legitimate rape" helped upend the race.

Hawaii also elected its first female senator when Democratic Rep. Mazie Hirono won.


Immigrants

The Democrats stayed with the immigrants while the Republicans viciously attacked them.  In the end, the Democrats won record high votes from Latinos (71%) and Asians (73%) and helped the Democrats win the 2012 elections big time.  Now the Republicans are looking into toning down their racist anti-immigrant agenda and reach out to them.

Update

The article, Biggest GOP Losers of 2012, has been updated.  The second biggest loser, Karl Rove, has been added to the list.

Friday, November 09, 2012

2012 Election Analysis: Gender and Age

Along with race, two other factors helped Obama and the Democrats win elections in 2012 and will be a winning formula for many years to come.  They are gender and age.  Data is from the CNN Election 2012 website.


Once again Romney failed to close the gender gap by winning a greater percentage of men voters than Obama's percentage win of women voters.  That's right, Romney and the Republicans must win a greater, not equal, percentage of men voters because women voters consistently outnumber men voters, 53% to 47%.  This will always be the case.

Romney didn't even come close to gaining an equal percentage of men voters.  The Republicans' hateful and ignorant agenda against women, such as senate election losers Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock, cost them dearly.  Romney did slightly better than John McCain in 2008, but fell well short of closing the gender gap.  And with Presidential elections consistently increasing into the billions of dollars, mistakes like these will devastate the Republican party.



The other winning factor that propelled Obama's victory in 2012 was the age factor.  The young voters under age 30 came out in overwhelming numbers and greatly helped Obama and the Democrats win big.  Comparing Obama's performance in 2008, the young voters in 2012 were prevalent, making 19% of voters, where they made up 18% in 2008.  The percentages of young voters voting for Obama was down, 66% in 2008 and 60% in 2012, but still a solid win of young voters that led to Obama's victory.

Young voters were a dominant winning factor in the Presidential elections, but the Democrats must learn that young voters are less inclined to vote in the non-Presidential elections.  In the even year non-Presidential elections like 2010, the percentage of young voters goes down.  In 2010, the young voters dropped to 11% of the voters.

Furthermore, in the odd year elections that determine state and local politicians, the young voters are even less inclined to vote.  Young voters make up under 10% of the voting population in odd year elections.  With the odd year 2013 elections coming up, the Democrats must find ways to reach out to the young voters and develop consistent habits so the young voters come out to vote every year.

2012 Election Analysis: Race

Barack Obama won his second term as President of the United States in 2012.  How did race play a role in this election, what are the trends, and what is the future?  Data is from the CNN Election 2012 website, as with my previous election analyses to keep comparisons consistent.



Obama won with 51% of the popular vote, Romney got 48% (These are estimates, as more votes are still being counted, especially in Florida.  I will update this once the official results are out).  Romney won a record high white voters (59%), so according to the Sailer Strategy, Romney should have demolished Obama in the elections.

It was nowhere even close.  Obama soundly defeated Romney because the Sailer Strategy died a long time ago, and keeps getting buried deeper in the grave every year.  The White vote declined from 74% in 2008 to 72% in 2012.

The two fastest growing minority groups, Latinos and Asians, grew substantially and voted Democrat in even greater numbers and proportion.  From 2008 to 2012, the Latino vote increased from 9% to 10% (about a 11% increase) and the Asian vote increased from 2% to 3% (about a 50% increase).

Even more impressive is that the proportion of Latinos and Asians voting Democrat increased to record highs; from 2008 to 2012, Latinos voting for Obama increased from 67% to 71% and Asians voting for Obama increased from 62% to 73%.

By the 2016 election the white vote should further decline to 69% or 70% and the Latino and Asian voters will take the place of the lost white voter percentages.  And with Presidential elections costing not just hundreds of millions of dollars, but constantly increasing into the billions of dollars, losing elections is proving to be fatal on tight finances.

Thursday, November 08, 2012

Biggest GOP Losers of 2012

Elections are not cheap, and Presidential elections are the costliest.  Furthermore, election costs consistently increase every year.  Mother Jones magazine reports in 2008 that the average amount spent by the winners in the House and Senate races were $1.4 million and $8.5 million respectively.  The Presidential races cost well in the hundreds of millions of dollars and 2012 surpassed the 2008 Presidential election costs as expected.

When someone loses an election, it burns all the money, time, and energy the candidate invested in their campaign.  Their political party also burns their funds in the losing election.  The Republicans lost the Presidency, several vital Senate seats, and several House seats in 2012.  Who are the biggest losers?


Mitt Romney, the millionaire tax cheats, and offshore tax havens

Mitt Romney did fight a tougher campaign than John McCain in 2008, but Mitt was too flawed.  His excessive wealth and out-of-touch personality with the middle class, his controversial business dealings and tax loopholes, his failure to be open and honest with the public, his flip-flopping on issues, his failure to reach out to the young, women, and minorities, was a recipe for disaster all along.

Mitt spent millions of his fortune on this Presidential race.  That isn't the biggest loss he will face.  Now that the public is better educated on the tax loopholes and offshore tax havens the super rich enjoy, there is a much greater desire to close these loopholes and tax havens.  It's better for the economy and America, but hiding unscrupulous tactics will eventually backfire and you will inevitably pay the Piper.


Karl Rove, Republican Strategist and Campaign Manager

Karl Rove has been the Republican's national campaign manager since 2000.  After the GOP's stunning losses in the 2012 elections, this may be his last year.  This article and other numerous very well summarizes why the GOP lost billions of dollars in 2012 and are very pissed.

The Republican strategist created the model for outside money groups that raised and spent more than $1 billion on the Nov. 6 elections - many of which saw almost no return for their money.

His two political outfits, American Crossroads and Crossroads Grassroots Policy Strategies, spend $127 million on Mitt Romney and lost

Rove publicly predicted that Mr. Romney would win with 285 electoral votes (he wrongly assumed Romney would take Ohio, Iowa, Virginia, Colorado, and Florida)

10 of the 12 Senate candidates and 4 of the 9 House candidates the Rove groups supported lost their races

The two Crossroads groups spent about $176 million

American Crossroads got a 1 percent return on its spending

Crossroads GPS fared slightly better, with a 13 percent return


Rape pseudo-experts Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock

Todd Akin of Missouri and Richard Mourdock of Indiana were running for U.S. Senate.  They are both Republicans and were ahead in the polls and doing well, until they uttered their stupid comments on rape.


In August, Todd Akin stated that women who are victims of what he called "legitimate rape" rarely get pregnant.

In October, Richard Mourdock stated that pregnancy caused by rape is something “God intended” and doesn’t justify an abortion.

Then everything went downhill until both of them lost the elections.  A U.S. Senate seat is very expensive, and for the GOP to lose two Senate seats that they were initially projected to win is devastating both financially and morally.


Linda McMahon of Connecticut

Linda McMahon is married to Vince McMahon and was manager and CEO of the WWE.  She is rich, but she learned the hard way that money can only go so far in buying votes.  After a certain limit, money only gets burned in a futile attempt to buy votes, and Linda learned that the hard way  - twice.

Linda McMahon ran for U.S. Senate of Connecticut in 2010 and spent an estimated $50 million of her own money, only to lose.  She ran again in 2012 and spent an estimated $47 million, only to lose again.

A $97 million investment with a return of zero.  That's a brutally harsh lesson for this Republican.


Billionaire GOP donor Sheldon Adelson

Sheldon Adelson is a billionaire from Las Vegas who owns a number of casinos and hotels primarily in Las Vegas.  He donated over $53 million to hard-right Republican candidates in the 2012 election.  Among the six GOP candidates receiving the largest donations from Sheldon, they all lost.  Here they are.

Mitt Romney (lost President race)
George Allen (Virginia, lost U.S. Senate race)
Connie Mack (Florida, lost U.S. Senate race)
David Dewhurst (Texas, lost U.S. Senate race)
Schmuley Boteach (New Jersey, lost House race)
Newt Gingrich (lost GOP Presidential primary race)

Of the $53 million Sheldon donated to the GOP, there were some Republicans who won the smaller races, but he is 0 out of 6 in the biggest races.  At least Sheldon did a hair better than Linda McMahon.  Of the $53 million Sheldon invested, he got a few dollars in return.  But this is still a major loss for him and the GOP.


Tea Party

The year 2010 was only a one time fad for the Tea Party.  They lost big in the 2012 elections and the Tea Party will continue to suffer more losses and downsizing in the near future.  Here are their losses in 2012, while gaining no new seats in Congress.

Rep. Joe Walsh (R-Ill.)
Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.)
Connie Mack (R-Fla.)
Tommy Thompson (R-Wis.)
George Allen (R-Va.)
Josh Mandel (R-Ohio)
Richard Mourdock (R-Ind.)

Tea Party leader Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) barely won the election in the smallest winning margin in her history in Congress.  This close call left her nervous and vulnerable, and next time she may not be fortunate.

Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Obama and Democrats win record high Latino voters

Before I post on the official results of the 2012 elections, as well as demographics like race, gender, age, religion, and so forth, there are a few more official results waiting.  Although Obama won Florida according to my predictions, Florida has to count all its absentee votes to deliver their official results.  Also, several more House races are still being counted.

The fact is that Obama won significantly because he and the Democrats abandoned the long dead and deeply buried Sailer Strategy.  The Democrats won a record turnout of the Latino vote.  Here is a New York Times story called "A Record Latino Turnout, Solidly Backing Obama".

Here are some preliminary statistics on race and voting, based on the article and news sources.  Once the official voting statistics are finalized, I will post on them and provide a comprehensive analysis.

In the 2008 election:
Whites made up 74% of voters and voted 43% for Obama
Blacks made up 13% of voters and voted 95% for Obama
Latinos made up 9% of voters and voted 67% for Obama

In the 2012 election:
Whites made up 72% of voters and voted 40% for Obama
Blacks made up 13% of voters and voted 93% for Obama
Latinos made up 10% of voters and voted 71% for Obama

While Obama did lose out on white voters, he made it up with the Latino vote and the growing minority voters in general.

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

President Obama wins the 2012 election

This just in.  President Obama wins Ohio's 18 electoral votes and thus the 2012 election by breaking the 270 electoral vote barrier.  The current electoral count is Obama 274, Romney 203.  We are still waiting on several more states to declare their electoral votes, especially Florida and Virginia, but Obama will be returning to the White House for four more years.

Democrats are doing well in the Senate and House races as well.  For the next week or so, I will provide my comprehensive analysis on the election results and the future of the American political scene.  It's going to be a very busy week.

Friday, November 02, 2012

2012 Election Prediction

My prediction for the 2012 election:  Obama wins
Obama gets 332 Electoral Votes, Romney gets 206 EV (270 EV needed to win)
Obama gets 51.8% of the Popular Vote, Romney gets 47.2% PV, All Others get 1.0% PV


The battleground states throughout the election are (number is electoral votes of the state): Florida (29), Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10), Colorado (9), Nevada (9), Iowa (9), New Hampshire (4)

Most polls and election prediction sites predict Romney will win Florida by a very small margin, and Obama will win all the other battleground states.  This would place Obama with 303 electoral votes.

I am predicting Obama will win Florida, thus winning all the battleground states.  The polls show a very weak Romney lead in Florida of less than 1.0 percent.  Since the overwhelming majority of Florida's population growth comes from Latinos, this should set the stage for Obama to win Florida.

Mitt Romney lost so many Latino voters during the campaign, and Latinos tend to be undercounted in polls, since polls like to stay with the same audience year every year.  Also, Jeb Bush and Katherine Harris are no longer in power in Florida to tamper with the results like in 2000.  All these factors set the path to make Florida a victory for Obama.

Thursday, November 01, 2012

Mitt Romney and the final flip-flopping

It's the final stretch of the 2012 elections.  Less than one week to go, Mitt Romney is getting desperate as polls indicate his losing gap against Obama is widening again.  Except in the beginning of October, where he did well in the first Presidential debate against an unprepared Obama, the frustration and desperation is mounting for the Romney camp.  This means more desperate flip-flopping on his stances.  All sources are from Media Matters.



Mitt Romney was always against the government bailout of the American auto industry.  After the government bailout succeeded, Obama is receiving much credit for his support and recovery of the American auto industry.  So Mitt Romney lies and changes his stance again in critical battleground states like Ohio and Michigan, falsely claiming he supports the American auto industry.

Right-Wing Media Help Romney Hide His Opposition To The Successful Auto Rescue


What's his stance on abortion?  Back in the 1994 MA Senate election, Mitt Romney claimed to be pro-choice, when he previously was anti-choice.  As Ted Kennedy said, "[Mitt] is multiple choice".  Then Ted Kennedy soundly defeated multiple stance Mitt Romney in the election.  Fast forward to 2012, Mitt claimed to be strongly anti-choice to appease the conservatives.  Then in late October, Mitt flipped to something like a moderate anti-choice or partial pro-choice hybrid.

NY Times Gives "Moderate" Romney A Pass On Abortion


Then there was Hurricane Sandy that struck the northeast region of America in late October.  Of course, Mitt Romney was sympathetic and supported government disaster relief aid.  However, this turned out to be another flip-flop from his previous disdain for government disaster aid like FEMA.

Wall Street Journal's Defense Of Romney's FEMA Comments Misses The Point


At least when Mitt Romney loses the election, there will be no flip-flopping there.  A loss is a loss and he cannot not flip a loss into a win.  And at age 65 and devastated by a Presidential campaign bill costing hundreds of millions of dollars, it's a sure bet Mitt will not be running in another election.